NSH
3–4
CGY
Final · L
Nashville Predators
NSH · 7-16-6
3–4
FinalL
Calgary Flames
CGY · 14-10-5
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
281507320
CGY
1831604428
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–2
NSH 7-16-6 · CGY 14-10-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–2
Predators fell to the Flames
The Predators were outchanced (2.9 to 1.8 expected goals) and lost 3–4. Dan Vladar allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 2.9 expected goals to 1.8, on 28 and 20 shots on goal.
NSH 1.8 xG · 20 shots
CGY 2.9 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
0.3 · 1.5
3rd
0.9 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jonathan Marchessault · 1st 07:45 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Nazem Kadri · 1st 10:22 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Tommy Novak · 1st 10:52 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Kevin Rooney · 2nd 02:27 · 2–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Jonathan Marchessault · 2nd 07:41 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Brayden Pachal · 2nd 13:49 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Jonathan Huberdeau · 2nd 18:41 · 3–4 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 32.
NSH 32%CGY 68%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Flames shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jonathan Marchessault · 1st 07:45 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Nazem Kadri · 1st 10:22 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Tommy Novak · 1st 10:52 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Kevin Rooney · 2nd 02:27 · 2–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Jonathan Marchessault · 2nd 07:41 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Brayden Pachal · 2nd 13:49 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Jonathan Huberdeau · 2nd 18:41 · PP · GWG · 3–4
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
17/20 saves · 3 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
