NSH
4–5
PIT
Final / OT · L
Nashville Predators
NSH · 9-17-7
4–5
Final / OTL
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 15-14-5
1ST2ND3RDOTT
NSH
291711000426
PIT
152411011520
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–1
NSH 9-17-7 · PIT 15-14-5 · First meeting this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–1
Predators fell to the Penguins
The Predators let a 3–1 lead get away: the Penguins came back with four unanswered goals — Karlsson's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Rust's goal. Juuse Saros allowed 3.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 1.5, on 26 and 20 shots on goal.
NSH 3.2 xG · 26 shots
PIT 1.5 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.6 · 0.5
2nd
1.1 · 0.4
3rd
0.6 · 0.5
OT
0.0 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jonathan Marchessault · 1st 03:51 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Bryan Rust · 1st 16:21 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Luke Evangelista · 1st 17:57 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
4
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 03:38 · 3–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
5
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 07:54 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Rickard Rakell · 2nd 09:08 · 3–3 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Brady Skjei · 3rd 07:44 · 4–3 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
8
Erik Karlsson · 3rd 11:36 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
9
Bryan Rust · OT 01:07 · 4–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 78.
NSH 78%PIT 22%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Penguins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jonathan Marchessault · 1st 03:51 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Bryan Rust · 1st 16:21 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Luke Evangelista · 1st 17:57 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
4
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 03:38 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
5
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 07:54 · PP · 3–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Rickard Rakell · 2nd 09:08 · 3–3
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Brady Skjei · 3rd 07:44 · 4–3
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
8
Erik Karlsson · 3rd 11:36 · 4–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
9
Bryan Rust · OT 01:07 · GWG · 4–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
15/20 saves · 5 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 3.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
22/26 saves · 4 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
