NSH
5–2
CAR
Final · W
Nashville Predators
NSH · 11-17-7
5–2
FinalW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 21-12-1
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
1111935525
CAR
0806213227
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Predators lead the season series 1–0
NSH 11-17-7 · CAR 21-12-1 · First meeting this season — the Predators lead the season series 1–0
Predators beat the Hurricanes
The Predators earned it: 2.3 expected goals to 1.5, and a 5–2 win to show for it. Dustin Tokarski allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 2.3 expected goals to 1.5, on 25 and 27 shots on goal.
NSH 2.3 xG · 25 shots
CAR 1.5 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.7 · 0.4
2nd · the swing
1.1 · 0.2
3rd
0.5 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Steven Stamkos · 1st 13:34 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Jonathan Marchessault · 2nd 11:45 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 00:30 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Mark Jankowski · 3rd 02:52 · 4–0 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Jordan Staal · 3rd 04:37 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 05:17 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Jonathan Marchessault · 3rd 16:48 · 5–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 65.
NSH 65%CAR 35%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Steven Stamkos · 1st 13:34 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Jonathan Marchessault · 2nd 11:45 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 00:30 · PP · GWG · 3–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Mark Jankowski · 3rd 02:52 · 4–0
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Jordan Staal · 3rd 04:37 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 05:17 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Jonathan Marchessault · 3rd 16:48 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
5
Jordan Martinook, William Carrier · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4–1
No penalties
Goaltending
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 1.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
20/24 saves · 4 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
