NSH
1–4
WSH
Final · L
Nashville Predators
NSH · 13-22-7
1–4
FinalL
Washington Capitals
WSH · 28-10-5
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
08112013133
WSH
051338416
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–2
NSH 13-22-7 · WSH 28-10-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–2
Predators fell to the Capitals
The Predators created the better chances (3.2 to 1.4 expected goals) — and lost 1–4. Logan Thompson stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 1.4, on 33 and 16 shots on goal.
NSH 3.2 xG · 33 shots
WSH 1.4 xG · 16 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.2 · 0.3
2nd
1.2 · 0.6
3rd
0.9 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tom Wilson · 2nd 09:03 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 16:14 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Ethen Frank · 3rd 08:30 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Andrew Mangiapane · 3rd 14:54 · 1–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 19:01 · 1–4 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 80.
NSH 80%WSH 20%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Capitals shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tom Wilson · 2nd 09:03 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 16:14 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Ethen Frank · 3rd 08:30 · GWG · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Andrew Mangiapane · 3rd 14:54 · 1–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 19:01 · EN · 1–4
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
2
Jonathan Marchessault, Roman Josi · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
12/15 saves · 3 GA · 1.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
32/33 saves · 1 GA · 3.2 xGA
Stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
