Nashville Predators
NSH · 14-22-7
5–3
FinalW
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 29-12-3
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
21121012523
VGK
0128113322
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Predators lead the season series 1–0
NSH 14-22-7 · VGK 29-12-3 · First meeting this season — the Predators lead the season series 1–0
Predators beat the Golden Knights
The Predators earned it: 2.4 expected goals to 1.8, and a 5–3 win to show for it. Ilya Samsonov allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 2.4 expected goals to 1.8, on 23 and 22 shots on goal.
NSH 2.4 xG · 23 shots
VGK 1.8 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
1st · the swing
1.3 · 0.1
2nd
1.1 · 0.7
3rd
0.0 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Steven Stamkos · 1st 09:44 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
2
Filip Forsberg · 1st 12:06 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Justin Barron · 2nd 05:29 · 3–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 08:41 · 4–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Pavel Dorofeyev · 2nd 09:12 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Pavel Dorofeyev · 2nd 14:02 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
7
Pavel Dorofeyev · 3rd 15:20 · 4–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
8
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 19:58 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 60.
NSH 60%VGK 40%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Steven Stamkos · 1st 09:44 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
2
Filip Forsberg · 1st 12:06 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Justin Barron · 2nd 05:29 · 3–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 08:41 · GWG · 4–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Pavel Dorofeyev · 2nd 09:12 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Pavel Dorofeyev · 2nd 14:02 · PP · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
7
Pavel Dorofeyev · 3rd 15:20 · 4–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
8
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 19:58 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
19/22 saves · 3 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
18/22 saves · 4 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.