Nashville Predators
NSH · 15-22-7
3–2
Final / SOW
Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 14-28-3
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
NSH
15016114061341
CHI
092707030226
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Predators lead the season series 2–0
NSH 15-22-7 · CHI 14-28-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the Predators lead the season series 2–0
Predators beat the Blackhawks
The Predators earned it: 4.1 expected goals to 2.0, and they won it in a shootout. Arvid Soderblom stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 2.0, on 41 and 26 shots on goal.
NSH 4.1 xG · 41 shots
CHI 2.0 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.7 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
1.2 · 0.3
3rd
1.4 · 0.6
OT
0.8 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Steven Stamkos · 1st 08:07 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Connor Bedard · 2nd 06:30 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Alec Martinez · 2nd 07:57 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 16:57 · 2–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 80.
NSH 80%CHI 20%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Steven Stamkos · 1st 08:07 · PP · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Connor Bedard · 2nd 06:30 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Alec Martinez · 2nd 07:57 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 16:57 · 2–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Predators
Goaltending
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 2.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
39/41 saves · 2 GA · 4.1 xGA
Stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.