NSH
6–2
MIN
Final · W
Nashville Predators
NSH · 16-22-7
6–2
FinalW
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 27-15-4
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
21721328638
MIN
17011111229
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Predators trail the season series 1–2
NSH 16-22-7 · MIN 27-15-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Predators trail the season series 1–2
Predators beat the Wild
The Predators earned it: 3.7 expected goals to 2.2, and a 6–2 win to show for it. Marc-Andre Fleury allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.2, on 38 and 29 shots on goal.
NSH 3.7 xG · 38 shots
MIN 2.2 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.8 · 0.4
2nd
1.6 · 0.7
3rd
0.3 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
David Jiricek · 1st 06:23 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Colton Sissons · 1st 08:22 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Filip Forsberg · 1st 17:29 · 2–1 · poke shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 00:54 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Fedor Svechkov · 2nd 02:07 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Matt Boldy · 3rd 02:28 · 4–2 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 16:20 · 5–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Brady Skjei · 3rd 18:11 · 6–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 73.
NSH 73%MIN 27%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Wild shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
David Jiricek · 1st 06:23 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Colton Sissons · 1st 08:22 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Filip Forsberg · 1st 17:29 · PP · 2–1
Poke shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 00:54 · GWG · 3–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Fedor Svechkov · 2nd 02:07 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Matt Boldy · 3rd 02:28 · PP · 4–2
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 16:20 · 5–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Brady Skjei · 3rd 18:11 · EN · 6–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
7
Unassisted · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5–2
No penalties
Goaltending
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
32/37 saves · 5 GA · 3.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
