Nashville Predators
NSH · 18-27-7
2–5
FinalL
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 29-20-4
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
0811217227
OTT
0822239539
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–2
NSH 18-27-7 · OTT 29-20-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–2
Predators fell to the Senators
The Predators were outchanced (3.9 to 1.9 expected goals) and lost 2–5. The Senators owned the 2nd period, 2.0 to 0.9 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 1.9, on 39 and 27 shots on goal.
NSH 1.9 xG · 27 shots
OTT 3.9 xG · 39 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.6 · 1.2
2nd · the swing
0.9 · 2.0
3rd
0.5 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 03:59 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
2
Adam Gaudette · 2nd 10:00 · 1–1 · bat shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
3
Jake Sanderson · 2nd 13:04 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Jonathan Marchessault · 3rd 00:47 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Shane Pinto · 3rd 06:17 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
6
David Perron · 3rd 14:06 · 2–4 · deflected shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Ridly Greig · 3rd 17:09 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 22.
NSH 22%OTT 78%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 03:59 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
2
Adam Gaudette · 2nd 10:00 · 1–1
Bat shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
3
Jake Sanderson · 2nd 13:04 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Jonathan Marchessault · 3rd 00:47 · PP · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Shane Pinto · 3rd 06:17 · GWG · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
6
David Perron · 3rd 14:06 · PP · 2–4
Deflected shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Ridly Greig · 3rd 17:09 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
34/38 saves · 4 GA · 3.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 1.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.