NSH
6–4
BUF
Final · W
Nashville Predators
NSH · 19-28-7
6–4
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 22-27-5
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
2102825623
BUF
2131719429
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
NSH 19-28-7 · BUF 22-27-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Predators beat the Sabres
The Predators were outchanced (3.0 to 2.3 expected goals) but won 6–4 anyway. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 2.3, on 29 and 23 shots on goal.
NSH 2.3 xG · 23 shots
BUF 3.0 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 1.1
2nd
0.7 · 0.8
3rd
0.7 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tommy Novak · 1st 06:57 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Brady Skjei · 1st 09:26 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Bowen Byram · 1st 15:21 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Rasmus Dahlin · 1st 18:25 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 14:31 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Brady Skjei · 2nd 15:13 · 4–2 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Alex Tuch · 2nd 17:43 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 06:58 · 5–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
9
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 12:30 · 5–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
10
Jonathan Marchessault · 3rd 19:24 · 6–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 38.
NSH 38%BUF 62%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tommy Novak · 1st 06:57 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Brady Skjei · 1st 09:26 · 2–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Bowen Byram · 1st 15:21 · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Rasmus Dahlin · 1st 18:25 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 14:31 · PP · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Brady Skjei · 2nd 15:13 · 4–2
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Alex Tuch · 2nd 17:43 · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 06:58 · GWG · 5–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
9
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 12:30 · PP · 5–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
10
Jonathan Marchessault · 3rd 19:24 · EN · 6–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
8
Ryan O'Reilly, Jonathan Marchessault · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5–3
No penalties
Goaltending
25/29 saves · 4 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
17/22 saves · 5 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
