NSH
2–1
COL
Final · W
Nashville Predators
NSH · 20-28-7
2–1
FinalW
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 33-23-2
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
091612217
COL
011111010132
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
NSH 20-28-7 · COL 33-23-2 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Predators beat the Avalanche
The Predators were outchanced (2.8 to 1.6 expected goals) but won 2–1 anyway. Juuse Saros stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 1.6, on 32 and 17 shots on goal.
NSH 1.6 xG · 17 shots
COL 2.8 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.7
2nd
0.4 · 0.8
3rd
0.6 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sam Malinski · 2nd 01:15 · 0–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Justin Barron · 2nd 01:45 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Jonathan Marchessault · 3rd 09:11 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (33%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 30.
NSH 30%COL 70%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sam Malinski · 2nd 01:15 · 0–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Justin Barron · 2nd 01:45 · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Jonathan Marchessault · 3rd 09:11 · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (33%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/32 saves · 1 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
15/17 saves · 2 GA · 1.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
