NSH
1–4
FLA
Final · L
Nashville Predators
NSH · 20-30-7
1–4
FinalL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 35-21-3
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
060715118
FLA
1111529425
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–2
NSH 20-30-7 · FLA 35-21-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–2
Predators fell to the Panthers
The Predators were outchanced (3.9 to 1.7 expected goals) and lost 1–4. The Panthers owned the 1st period, 1.4 to 0.4 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 1.7, on 25 and 18 shots on goal.
NSH 1.7 xG · 18 shots
FLA 3.9 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.4 · 1.4
2nd
0.7 · 1.2
3rd
0.7 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sam Bennett · 1st 01:23 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (41%)
2
Justin Sourdif · 2nd 04:21 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
3
Michael McCarron · 3rd 04:30 · 1–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
4
Gustav Forsling · 3rd 09:02 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Mackie Samoskevich · 3rd 15:34 · 1–4 · backhand shot, a great chance (35%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 19.
NSH 19%FLA 81%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sam Bennett · 1st 01:23 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (41%)
2
Justin Sourdif · 2nd 04:21 · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
3
Michael McCarron · 3rd 04:30 · 1–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
4
Gustav Forsling · 3rd 09:02 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Mackie Samoskevich · 3rd 15:34 · 1–4
Backhand shot, a great chance (35%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/25 saves · 4 GA · 3.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
17/18 saves · 1 GA · 1.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
