NSH
3–2
CHI
Final / OT · W
Nashville Predators
NSH · 24-32-7
3–2
Final / OTW
Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 20-35-9
1ST2ND3RDOTT
NSH
01721001212341
CHI
061111200219
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Predators lead the season series 3–1
NSH 24-32-7 · CHI 20-35-9 · Meeting 4 this season — the Predators lead the season series 3–1
Predators beat the Blackhawks
The Predators earned it: 4.1 expected goals to 2.1, and they won it in overtime on Stamkos's goal. Arvid Soderblom stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 2.1, on 41 and 19 shots on goal.
NSH 4.1 xG · 41 shots
CHI 2.1 xG · 19 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
2.2 · 0.3
2nd
0.6 · 1.5
3rd
1.1 · 0.3
OT
0.2 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex Vlasic · 2nd 01:56 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 02:36 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 12:20 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Ilya Mikheyev · 3rd 12:22 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Steven Stamkos · OT 02:39 · 3–2 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 79.
NSH 79%CHI 21%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Blackhawks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex Vlasic · 2nd 01:56 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 02:36 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 12:20 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Ilya Mikheyev · 3rd 12:22 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Steven Stamkos · OT 02:39 · GWG · 3–2
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
2
Jonathan Marchessault, Nick Blankenburg · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–1
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
17/19 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
38/41 saves · 3 GA · 4.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
