Nashville Predators
NSH · 25-35-8
1–4
FinalL
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 30-31-8
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
11108015134
ANA
010313112435
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–3
NSH 25-35-8 · ANA 30-31-8 · Meeting 3 this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–3
Predators fell to the Ducks
The Predators were outchanced (3.0 to 1.7 expected goals) and lost 1–4.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Ducks created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 1.7, on 35 and 34 shots on goal.
NSH 1.7 xG · 34 shots
ANA 3.0 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
0.5 · 1.3
3rd
0.6 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Steven Stamkos · 1st 07:07 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Jackson LaCombe · 2nd 07:29 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
3
Troy Terry · 2nd 13:19 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Trevor Zegras · 2nd 15:36 · 1–3 · bat shot on a rebound, a good chance (25%)
5
Alex Killorn · 3rd 19:24 · 1–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 27.
NSH 27%ANA 73%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Steven Stamkos · 1st 07:07 · PP · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Jackson LaCombe · 2nd 07:29 · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
3
Troy Terry · 2nd 13:19 · GWG · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Trevor Zegras · 2nd 15:36 · 1–3
Bat shot on a rebound, a good chance (25%)
5
Alex Killorn · 3rd 19:24 · EN · 1–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
1
Filip Forsberg, Jonathan Marchessault · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/34 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
33/34 saves · 1 GA · 1.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.