NSH
5–2
TOR
Final · W
Nashville Predators
NSH · 26-35-8
5–2
FinalW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 42-25-3
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
06313213532
TOR
2120509226
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
NSH 26-35-8 · TOR 42-25-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Predators beat the Maple Leafs
Down 0–2 in the 1st period, the Predators erased the deficit with five unanswered goals — Bellows's equalizer — and won 5–2.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 1.8, on 32 and 26 shots on goal.
NSH 3.1 xG · 32 shots
TOR 1.8 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.3 · 0.6
2nd · the swing
1.4 · 0.5
3rd
1.3 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
John Tavares · 1st 09:16 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Mitch Marner · 1st 13:05 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Michael Bunting · 2nd 01:39 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Kieffer Bellows · 2nd 09:15 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 19:13 · 3–2 · poke shot, a great chance (49%)
6
Luke Evangelista · 3rd 10:17 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 19:23 · 5–2 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 72.
NSH 72%TOR 28%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
John Tavares · 1st 09:16 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Mitch Marner · 1st 13:05 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Michael Bunting · 2nd 01:39 · PP · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Kieffer Bellows · 2nd 09:15 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 19:13 · GWG · 3–2
Poke shot, a great chance (49%)
6
Luke Evangelista · 3rd 10:17 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 19:23 · EN · 5–2
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 1.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
