NSH
2–3
STL
Final · L
Nashville Predators
NSH · 27-37-8
2–3
FinalL
St. Louis Blues
STL · 39-28-7
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
260705218
STL
0317211321
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–4
NSH 27-37-8 · STL 39-28-7 · Meeting 4 this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–4
Predators fell to the Blues
The Predators let a 2–0 lead get away: the Blues came back with three unanswered goals — Fowler's equalizer — and won 2–3. Juuse Saros allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.1 expected goals to 1.7, on 18 and 21 shots on goal.
NSH 2.1 xG · 18 shots
STL 1.7 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.6 · 0.3
2nd
0.9 · 0.5
3rd
0.6 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Fedor Svechkov · 1st 02:48 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Brady Skjei · 1st 10:16 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Dylan Holloway · 2nd 10:35 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Cam Fowler · 3rd 11:57 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Dylan Holloway · 3rd 12:19 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 58.
NSH 58%STL 42%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Blues shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Fedor Svechkov · 1st 02:48 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Brady Skjei · 1st 10:16 · PP · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Dylan Holloway · 2nd 10:35 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Cam Fowler · 3rd 11:57 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Dylan Holloway · 3rd 12:19 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2
Luke Evangelista, Kieffer Bellows · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2–0
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
16/18 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
