Nashville Predators
NSH · 27-38-8
1–3
FinalL
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 45-20-8
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
091807124
VGK
0911129329
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
NSH 27-38-8 · VGK 45-20-8 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Predators fell to the Golden Knights
The Predators were outchanced (2.9 to 1.3 expected goals) and lost 1–3. The Golden Knights owned the 2nd period, 1.4 to 0.3 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Golden Knights created the better chances: 2.9 expected goals to 1.3, on 29 and 24 shots on goal.
NSH 1.3 xG · 24 shots
VGK 2.9 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 0.4
2nd · the swing
0.3 · 1.4
3rd
0.4 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 05:53 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Jack Eichel · 2nd 08:26 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (36%)
3
Reilly Smith · 3rd 06:25 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a great chance (62%)
4
Brett Howden · 3rd 19:15 · 1–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 22.
NSH 22%VGK 78%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 05:53 · PP · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Jack Eichel · 2nd 08:26 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (36%)
3
Reilly Smith · 3rd 06:25 · PP · GWG · 1–2
Backhand shot, a great chance (62%)
4
Brett Howden · 3rd 19:15 · EN · 1–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
1
Nick Blankenburg, Filip Forsberg · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1–0
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/28 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
23/24 saves · 1 GA · 1.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.