Nashville Predators
NSH · 28-42-8
7–6
Final / OTW
New York Islanders
NYI · 34-32-11
1ST2ND3RDOTT
NSH
2122112712732
NYI
28252801622
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
NSH 28-42-8 · NYI 34-32-11 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Predators beat the Islanders
Down 4–6 in the 3rd period, the Predators erased the deficit with three unanswered goals — Bunting's equalizer with 0:40 left and the goalie pulled — and won it in overtime on Svechkov's goal. Justus Annunen allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.3 expected goals to 3.2, on 32 and 22 shots on goal.
NSH 3.3 xG · 32 shots
NYI 3.2 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.3 · 0.5
2nd
0.8 · 0.7
3rd · the swing
0.8 · 1.8
OT
0.3 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Simon Holmstrom · 1st 04:16 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Ryan O'Reilly · 1st 06:44 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (53%)
3
Filip Forsberg · 1st 11:45 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Anders Lee · 1st 16:12 · 2–2 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Simon Holmstrom · 2nd 04:36 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 07:24 · 3–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Maxim Tsyplakov · 2nd 12:09 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
8
Michael McCarron · 2nd 13:25 · 4–4 · deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
9
Kyle Palmieri · 3rd 15:21 · 4–5 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
10
Scott Mayfield · 3rd 16:19 · 4–6 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
11
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 17:53 · 5–6 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
12
Michael Bunting · 3rd 19:20 · 6–6 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
13
Fedor Svechkov · OT 01:56 · 7–6 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 51.
NSH 51%NYI 49%
Goals and penalties
13 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Simon Holmstrom · 1st 04:16 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Ryan O'Reilly · 1st 06:44 · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (53%)
3
Filip Forsberg · 1st 11:45 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Anders Lee · 1st 16:12 · 2–2
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Simon Holmstrom · 2nd 04:36 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 07:24 · PP · 3–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Maxim Tsyplakov · 2nd 12:09 · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
8
Michael McCarron · 2nd 13:25 · 4–4
Deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
9
Kyle Palmieri · 3rd 15:21 · 4–5
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
10
Scott Mayfield · 3rd 16:19 · SH · 4–6
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
11
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 17:53 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 5–6
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
12
Michael Bunting · 3rd 19:20 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 6–6
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
13
Fedor Svechkov · OT 01:56 · GWG · 7–6
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
1st period
1
Ryan Pulock, Jean-Gabriel Pageau · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
0–1
2nd period
6
Nick Blankenburg, Jonathan Marchessault · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3–3
3rd period
9
Unassisted · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4–5
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
16/22 saves · 6 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
19/23 saves · 4 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.