NSH
5–1
DAL
Final · W
Nashville Predators
NSH · 30-44-8
5–1
FinalW
Dallas Stars
DAL · 50-26-6
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
312210012534
DAL
11101207130
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
NSH 30-44-8 · DAL 50-26-6 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Predators beat the Stars
The Predators earned it: 3.7 expected goals to 2.6, and a 5–1 win to show for it. Jake Oettinger allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.6, on 34 and 30 shots on goal.
NSH 3.7 xG · 34 shots
DAL 2.6 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.0 · 1.3
2nd
1.3 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
1.4 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mason Marchment · 1st 00:16 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
· 1st 13:02 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Jakub Vrana · 1st 13:51 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Justin Barron · 1st 19:45 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Jonathan Marchessault · 2nd 06:31 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 09:49 · 5–1 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 68.
NSH 68%DAL 32%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mason Marchment · 1st 00:16 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
· 1st 13:02 · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Jakub Vrana · 1st 13:51 · GWG · 2–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Justin Barron · 1st 19:45 · 3–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Jonathan Marchessault · 2nd 06:31 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 09:49 · PP · 5–1
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
29/30 saves · 1 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
17/22 saves · 5 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
