Nashville Predators
NSH · 1-0-1
2–3
Final / OTL
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 1-1-0
1ST2ND3RDOTT
NSH
16190800223
UTA
111031811323
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–1
NSH 1-0-1 · UTA 1-1-0 · First meeting this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–1
Predators fell to the Mammoth
The Predators created the better chances (3.6 to 2.8 expected goals) — and lost it in overtime on Guenther's goal. Karel Vejmelka stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 2.8, on 23 and 23 shots on goal.
NSH 3.6 xG · 23 shots
UTA 2.8 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.5 · 1.2
2nd · the swing
2.2 · 0.1
3rd
0.9 · 1.3
OT
0.0 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Logan Cooley · 1st 02:21 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Filip Forsberg · 1st 07:23 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Erik Haula · 2nd 13:13 · 2–1 · deflected shot, a great chance (59%)
4
Jack McBain · 3rd 11:37 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (48%)
5
Dylan Guenther · OT 02:56 · 2–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 63.
NSH 63%UTA 37%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Logan Cooley · 1st 02:21 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Filip Forsberg · 1st 07:23 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Erik Haula · 2nd 13:13 · 2–1
Deflected shot, a great chance (59%)
4
Jack McBain · 3rd 11:37 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (48%)
5
Dylan Guenther · OT 02:56 · GWG · 2–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
21/23 saves · 2 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.