Nashville Predators
NSH · 2-3-2
2–5
FinalL
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 3-2-1
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
11111502228
ANA
11331217532
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–1
NSH 2-3-2 · ANA 3-2-1 · First meeting this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–1
Predators fell to the Ducks
The Predators were outchanced (4.4 to 1.8 expected goals) and lost 2–5. The Ducks owned the 2nd period, 2.0 to 0.8 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Ducks created the better chances: 4.4 expected goals to 1.8, on 32 and 28 shots on goal.
NSH 1.8 xG · 28 shots
ANA 4.4 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
0.8 · 1.4
2nd · the swing
0.8 · 2.0
3rd
0.3 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ross Johnston · 1st 08:52 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
2
Tyson Jost · 1st 14:29 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Leo Carlsson · 2nd 04:23 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
4
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 06:39 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Cutter Gauthier · 2nd 15:07 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Beckett Sennecke · 2nd 16:59 · 2–4 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Troy Terry · 3rd 11:40 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 15.
NSH 15%ANA 85%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 10 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ross Johnston · 1st 08:52 · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
2
Tyson Jost · 1st 14:29 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Leo Carlsson · 2nd 04:23 · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
4
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 06:39 · 2–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Cutter Gauthier · 2nd 15:07 · GWG · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Beckett Sennecke · 2nd 16:59 · 2–4
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Troy Terry · 3rd 11:40 · 2–5
Wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:09
Roman Josi· Holding
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:05
Erik Haula· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:42
Adam Wilsby· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:42
Cutter Gauthier· Interference
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:55
Adam Wilsby· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
5 min
Major
13:31
Ross Johnston· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
13:31
Michael McCarron· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
14:26
Ozzy Wiesblatt· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
14:26
Frank Vatrano· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:07
Cole Smith· Tripping
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
27/32 saves · 5 GA · 4.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
26/28 saves · 2 GA · 1.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Predators went 0-for-1 on the power play and killed all 5 Ducks power plays.