Nashville Predators
NSH · 3-3-2
2–1
FinalW
Vancouver Canucks
VAN · 4-4-0
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
012112111235
VAN
0511007122
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Predators lead the season series 1–0
NSH 3-3-2 · VAN 4-4-0 · First meeting this season — the Predators lead the season series 1–0
Predators beat the Canucks
The Predators were outchanced (2.3 to 1.8 expected goals) but won 2–1 anyway. Juuse Saros stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Canucks created the better chances: 2.3 expected goals to 1.8, on 22 and 35 shots on goal.
NSH 1.8 xG · 35 shots
VAN 2.3 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
1st · the swing
0.2 · 1.1
2nd
0.7 · 0.5
3rd
0.9 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 09:01 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Max Sasson · 2nd 11:49 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Cole Smith · 3rd 05:09 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 40.
NSH 40%VAN 60%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 8 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 09:01 · SH · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Max Sasson · 2nd 11:49 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Cole Smith · 3rd 05:09 · GWG · 2–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:15
Nick Perbix· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:04
Tyler Myers· Delaying game puck over glass
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:40
Erik Haula· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:48
Luke Evangelista· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:18
Brady Skjei· Delaying game puck over glass
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:23
Marcus Pettersson· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:32
Erik Haula· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
3
Michael McCarron, Justin Barron · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:23
Marcus Pettersson· Roughing
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
21/22 saves · 1 GA · 2.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
33/35 saves · 2 GA · 1.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Predators went 0-for-3 on the power play and killed all 5 Canucks power plays.