Nashville Predators
NSH · 4-3-2
5–4
Final / SOW
Los Angeles Kings
LAK · 3-3-3
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
NSH
1122412071525
LAK
113214112010440
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Predators lead the season series 1–0
NSH 4-3-2 · LAK 3-3-3 · First meeting this season — the Predators lead the season series 1–0
Predators beat the Kings
Chances were even (3.3 to 3.4 expected goals); the Predators won it in a shootout. The Predators owned the overtime, 1.3 to 0.1 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.3 expected goals to 3.4, on 25 and 40 shots on goal.
NSH 3.3 xG · 25 shots
LAK 3.4 xG · 40 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.7
2nd
0.5 · 1.3
3rd
0.7 · 1.3
OT · the swing
1.3 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Adrian Kempe · 1st 07:27 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Ryan O'Reilly · 1st 09:00 · 1–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (43%)
3
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 00:36 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Joel Armia · 2nd 01:35 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Corey Perry · 2nd 05:24 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Cole Smith · 2nd 07:12 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Trevor Moore · 3rd 09:50 · 3–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
8
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 14:44 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 49.
NSH 49%LAK 51%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 5 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Adrian Kempe · 1st 07:27 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Ryan O'Reilly · 1st 09:00 · 1–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (43%)
3
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 00:36 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Joel Armia · 2nd 01:35 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Corey Perry · 2nd 05:24 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Cole Smith · 2nd 07:12 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Trevor Moore · 3rd 09:50 · 3–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
8
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 14:44 · 4–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:44
Mikey Anderson· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:35
Justin Barron· Slashing
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:52
Trevor Moore· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:29
Jonathan Marchessault· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:37
Cole Smith· Slashing
Killed
Minor
Shootout
1
Ryan O'Reilly
Goal
2
Adrian Kempe
Goal
3
Filip Forsberg
Goal
4
Corey Perry
Miss
5
Steven Stamkos
Save
6
Trevor Moore
Goal
7
Jonathan Marchessault
Save
8
Quinton Byfield
Save
9
Matthew Wood
Save
10
Andrei Kuzmenko
Save
11
Luke Evangelista
Miss
12
Phillip Danault
Save
13
Erik Haula
Goal
14
Kevin Fiala
Goal
15
Michael Bunting
Miss
16
Warren Foegele
Save
17
Ozzy Wiesblatt
Goal
18
Joel Armia
Save
Goaltending
36/40 saves · 4 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
21/25 saves · 4 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Predators went 0-for-2 on the power play and killed all 3 Kings power plays.