Nashville Predators
NSH · 4-4-2
2–3
FinalL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 5-3-1
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
181809225
DAL
0621319328
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–1
NSH 4-4-2 · DAL 5-3-1 · First meeting this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–1
Predators fell to the Stars
The Predators let a 2–0 lead get away: the Stars came back with three unanswered goals — Johnston's equalizer — and won 2–3.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.1, on 28 and 25 shots on goal.
NSH 2.1 xG · 25 shots
DAL 3.4 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
1.0 · 1.8
3rd
0.4 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jonathan Marchessault · 1st 08:02 · 1–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Spencer Stastney · 2nd 07:15 · 2–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Oskar Bäck · 2nd 09:36 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Wyatt Johnston · 2nd 16:29 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 10:44 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 30.
NSH 30%DAL 70%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 7 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jonathan Marchessault · 1st 08:02 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Spencer Stastney · 2nd 07:15 · 2–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Oskar Bäck · 2nd 09:36 · 2–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Wyatt Johnston · 2nd 16:29 · 2–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 10:44 · PP · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:57
Erik Haula· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:12
Mikko Rantanen· Interference
Marchessault scored on this power play
Minor
1
Ryan O'Reilly, Filip Forsberg · Power play (Rantanen, interference) · snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:45
Filip Forsberg· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:25
Cole Smith· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:06
Wyatt Johnston· Hooking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:11
Tyson Jost· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:45
Nicolas Hague· Delaying game puck over glass
Rantanen scored on this power play
Minor
5
Mavrik Bourque, Jason Robertson · Power play (Hague, delaying game puck over glass) · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2–3
Goaltending
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 3.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Predators went 1-for-2 on the power play and allowed 1 on 5 Stars power plays.