NSH
2–5
TBL
Final · L
Nashville Predators
NSH · 4-5-2
2–5
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 4-4-2
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
080329220
TBL
11311336532
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–1
NSH 4-5-2 · TBL 4-4-2 · First meeting this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–1
Predators fell to the Lightning
The Predators were outchanced (3.9 to 2.0 expected goals) and lost 2–5. The Lightning owned the 2nd period, 2.0 to 0.2 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 2.0, on 32 and 20 shots on goal.
NSH 2.0 xG · 20 shots
TBL 3.9 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.0 · 1.4
2nd · the swing
0.2 · 2.0
3rd
0.8 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Zemgus Girgensons · 1st 10:31 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Brandon Hagel · 2nd 15:37 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (49%)
3
Luke Evangelista · 3rd 05:05 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
4
Charle-Edouard D'Astous · 3rd 07:58 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 17:54 · 2–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
6
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 19:07 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Zemgus Girgensons · 3rd 19:33 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 22.
NSH 22%TBL 78%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 11 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Zemgus Girgensons · 1st 10:31 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Brandon Hagel · 2nd 15:37 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (49%)
3
Luke Evangelista · 3rd 05:05 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
4
Charle-Edouard D'Astous · 3rd 07:58 · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 17:54 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
6
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 19:07 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Zemgus Girgensons · 3rd 19:33 · 2–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:32
Brayden Point· Tripping
Brayden Point· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:49
Adam Wilsby· Interference
Adam Wilsby· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:28
Erik Haula· Slashing
Erik Haula· Slashing
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:29
Spencer Stastney· Slashing
Spencer Stastney· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
19:15
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Killed
Bench minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:00
Charle-Edouard D'Astous· Roughing
Charle-Edouard D'Astous· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:00
Michael Bunting· Slashing
Michael Bunting· Slashing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:45
Dominic James· Slashing
Dominic James· Slashing
Evangelista scored on this power play
Minor
3
Erik Haula, Brady Skjei · Power play (James, slashing) · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
1–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:50
Erik Cernak· Holding the stick
Erik Cernak· Holding the stick
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:47
Filip Forsberg· Roughing
Filip Forsberg· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:47
J.J. Moser· Roughing
J.J. Moser· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
Goaltending
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 3.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
18/20 saves · 2 GA · 2.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Predators went 1-for-3 on the power play and killed all 4 Lightning power plays.