NSH
4–2
CGY
Final · W
Nashville Predators
NSH · 5-6-2
4–2
FinalW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 2-9-2
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
3110716424
CGY
01501129235
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Predators lead the season series 1–0
NSH 5-6-2 · CGY 2-9-2 · First meeting this season — the Predators lead the season series 1–0
Predators beat the Flames
Chances were even (2.2 to 2.6 expected goals); the Predators won 4–2. Dustin Wolf allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.2 expected goals to 2.6, on 24 and 35 shots on goal.
NSH 2.2 xG · 24 shots
CGY 2.6 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.8
2nd
0.8 · 1.1
3rd
0.4 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Michael Bunting · 1st 10:29 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Matthew Wood · 1st 11:18 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Jonathan Marchessault · 1st 14:17 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Jonathan Huberdeau · 3rd 04:39 · 3–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
5
Joel Farabee · 3rd 11:57 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 19:36 · 4–2 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 42.
NSH 42%CGY 58%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 9 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Flames shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Michael Bunting · 1st 10:29 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Matthew Wood · 1st 11:18 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Jonathan Marchessault · 1st 14:17 · PP · GWG · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Jonathan Huberdeau · 3rd 04:39 · 3–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
5
Joel Farabee · 3rd 11:57 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 19:36 · EN · 4–2
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:15
Jake Bean· Tripping
Jake Bean· Tripping
Killed
Minor
2
Michael Bunting, Nick Blankenburg · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:03
Kevin Bahl· Elbowing
Kevin Bahl· Elbowing
Marchessault scored on this power play
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:07
Morgan Frost· High-sticking
Morgan Frost· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:39
Brayden Pachal· Roughing
Brayden Pachal· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:39
Ozzy Wiesblatt· Roughing
Ozzy Wiesblatt· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
10:39
Brayden Pachal· Misconduct
Brayden Pachal· Misconduct
Misconduct
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:48
Steven Stamkos· Hooking
Steven Stamkos· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:07
Spencer Stastney· High-sticking
Spencer Stastney· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:35
Rasmus Andersson· Tripping
Rasmus Andersson· Tripping
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
33/35 saves · 2 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
12/12 saves · 0 GA · 1.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Predators went 1-for-4 on the power play and killed all 2 Flames power plays.