Nashville Predators
NSH · 5-7-4
1–3
FinalL
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 8-5-1
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
11001004124
PHI
0721019326
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–2
NSH 5-7-4 · PHI 8-5-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–2
Predators fell to the Flyers
The Predators created the better chances (3.7 to 2.4 expected goals) — and lost 1–3. Dan Vladar stopped 2.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.4, on 24 and 26 shots on goal.
NSH 3.7 xG · 24 shots
PHI 2.4 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.6 · 0.6
2nd
1.4 · 1.4
3rd
0.6 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ryan O'Reilly · 1st 01:44 · 1–0 · deflected shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Matvei Michkov · 2nd 04:43 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Noah Cates · 2nd 17:37 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (25%)
4
Travis Konecny · 3rd 18:47 · 1–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 69.
NSH 69%PHI 31%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 8 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ryan O'Reilly · 1st 01:44 · 1–0
Deflected shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Matvei Michkov · 2nd 04:43 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Noah Cates · 2nd 17:37 · GWG · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (25%)
4
Travis Konecny · 3rd 18:47 · EN · 1–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:35
Brady Skjei· Hooking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:11
Owen Tippett· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:05
Steven Stamkos· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:05
Travis Sanheim· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:05
Jonathan Marchessault· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:05
Garnet Hathaway· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:16
Noah Juulsen· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:36
Garnet Hathaway· Roughing
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
23/24 saves · 1 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 2.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Predators went 0-for-3 on the power play and killed all 1 Flyers power play.