Nashville Predators
NSH · 5-8-4
4–5
FinalL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 8-4-3
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
1427110421
DAL
171936522
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–2
NSH 5-8-4 · DAL 8-4-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–2
Predators fell to the Stars
The Predators were outchanced (2.7 to 1.8 expected goals) and lost 4–5. Justus Annunen allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 2.7 expected goals to 1.8, on 22 and 21 shots on goal.
NSH 1.8 xG · 21 shots
DAL 2.7 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.2 · 0.9
2nd
0.4 · 1.1
3rd
1.2 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mavrik Bourque · 1st 06:26 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a great chance (32%)
2
Luke Evangelista · 1st 17:46 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Roope Hintz · 2nd 00:13 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Nicolas Hague · 2nd 04:43 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 05:10 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Justin Hryckowian · 3rd 02:20 · 3–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (25%)
7
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 05:11 · 4–3 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Adam Erne · 3rd 09:33 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
9
Sam Steel · 3rd 10:20 · 4–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 34.
NSH 34%DAL 66%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 9 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mavrik Bourque · 1st 06:26 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a great chance (32%)
2
Luke Evangelista · 1st 17:46 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Roope Hintz · 2nd 00:13 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Nicolas Hague · 2nd 04:43 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 05:10 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Justin Hryckowian · 3rd 02:20 · 3–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (25%)
7
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 05:11 · PP · 4–3
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Adam Erne · 3rd 09:33 · 4–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
9
Sam Steel · 3rd 10:20 · GWG · 4–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:07
Brady Skjei· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:34
Luke Evangelista· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:32
Ozzy Wiesblatt· Interference goalkeeper
Hintz scored on this power play
Minor
2nd period
3
Wyatt Johnston, Miro Heiskanen · Power play (Wiesblatt, interference goalkeeper) · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
1–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:57
Filip Forsberg· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:00
Wyatt Johnston· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:00
Ozzy Wiesblatt· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:24
Lian Bichsel· Boarding
Stamkos scored on this power play
Minor
7
Nick Blankenburg, Matthew Wood · Power play (Bichsel, boarding) · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
4–3
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:48
Ilya Lyubushkin· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:23
Colin Blackwell· Tripping
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
17/22 saves · 5 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
17/21 saves · 4 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Predators went 1-for-4 on the power play and allowed 1 on 5 Stars power plays.