Nashville Predators
NSH · 6-9-4
2–1
Final / OTW
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 9-5-4
1ST2ND3RDOTT
NSH
080121812230
PIT
08120700117
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Predators lead the season series 1–0
NSH 6-9-4 · PIT 9-5-4 · First meeting this season — the Predators lead the season series 1–0
Predators beat the Penguins
The Predators earned it: 3.1 expected goals to 1.6, and they won it in overtime on Stamkos's goal. Arturs Silovs stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 1.6, on 30 and 17 shots on goal.
NSH 3.1 xG · 30 shots
PIT 1.6 xG · 17 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
1.7 · 0.2
3rd
0.6 · 0.4
OT
0.2 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Evgeni Malkin · 2nd 13:49 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 18:50 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Steven Stamkos · OT 00:44 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 75.
NSH 75%PIT 25%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 3 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Evgeni Malkin · 2nd 13:49 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 18:50 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 1–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Steven Stamkos · OT 00:44 · GWG · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:50
Luke Evangelista· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:58
Kris Letang· Roughing
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:22
Justin Barron· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
2
Unassisted · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1–1
Overtime
Goaltending
16/17 saves · 1 GA · 1.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 3.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Predators went 0-for-1 on the power play and killed all 2 Penguins power plays.