Nashville Predators
NSH · 9-13-4
5–1
FinalW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 9-15-4
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
1937112528
CGY
01001018128
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Predators lead the season series 2–0
NSH 9-13-4 · CGY 9-15-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Predators lead the season series 2–0
Predators beat the Flames
The Predators earned it: 2.7 expected goals to 2.0, and a 5–1 win to show for it. Devin Cooley allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 2.7 expected goals to 2.0, on 28 and 28 shots on goal.
NSH 2.7 xG · 28 shots
CGY 2.0 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.9
2nd
1.1 · 0.4
3rd
1.1 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Reid Schaefer · 1st 06:24 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 05:04 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Jonathan Marchessault · 2nd 14:25 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Ozzy Wiesblatt · 2nd 15:32 · 4–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
5
Michael Bunting · 3rd 02:59 · 5–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Morgan Frost · 3rd 13:39 · 5–1 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 62.
NSH 62%CGY 38%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 13 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Reid Schaefer · 1st 06:24 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 05:04 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Jonathan Marchessault · 2nd 14:25 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Ozzy Wiesblatt · 2nd 15:32 · 4–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
5
Michael Bunting · 3rd 02:59 · 5–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Morgan Frost · 3rd 13:39 · PP · 5–1
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:36
Adam Wilsby· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
12:03
Bench· Delaying game bench face off violation
Killed
Bench minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:26
Ozzy Wiesblatt· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:26
Joel Farabee· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:06
Nicolas Hague· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
5 min
Major
15:39
Brayden Pachal· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
15:39
Reid Schaefer· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
3rd period
PEN
5 min
Major
06:42
Blake Coleman· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
06:42
Ozzy Wiesblatt· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:30
Nicolas Hague· Roughing
Frost scored on this power play
Minor
6
Nazem Kadri, Jonathan Huberdeau · Power play (Hague, roughing) · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
5–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:55
Blake Coleman· Roughing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:50
Roman Josi· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:43
MacKenzie Weegar· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
27/28 saves · 1 GA · 2.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
12/16 saves · 4 GA · 1.6 xGA
Allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Predators went 0-for-3 on the power play and allowed 1 on 4 Flames power plays.