NSH
7–2
STL
Final · W
Nashville Predators
NSH · 12-14-4
7–2
FinalW
St. Louis Blues
STL · 11-14-7
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
21241317732
STL
092908226
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Predators lead the season series 1–0
NSH 12-14-4 · STL 11-14-7 · First meeting this season — the Predators lead the season series 1–0
Predators beat the Blues
The Predators earned it: 4.2 expected goals to 1.8, and a 7–2 win to show for it. Jordan Binnington allowed 2.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 4.2 expected goals to 1.8, on 32 and 26 shots on goal.
NSH 4.2 xG · 32 shots
STL 1.8 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.5 · 0.9
2nd
1.6 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
1.1 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Steven Stamkos · 1st 08:22 · 1–0 · bat shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
2
Steven Stamkos · 1st 11:19 · 2–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
3
· 2nd 04:17 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 08:38 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 11:43 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (54%)
6
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 12:06 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Robert Thomas · 2nd 13:56 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 15:33 · 6–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
9
Michael Bunting · 3rd 07:36 · 7–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 83.
NSH 83%STL 17%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 8 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Blues shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Steven Stamkos · 1st 08:22 · 1–0
Bat shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
2
Steven Stamkos · 1st 11:19 · 2–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
3
· 2nd 04:17 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 08:38 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 11:43 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (54%)
6
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 12:06 · 5–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Robert Thomas · 2nd 13:56 · 5–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 15:33 · 6–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
9
Michael Bunting · 3rd 07:36 · PP · 7–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:07
Reid Schaefer· Interference goalkeeper
Reid Schaefer· Interference goalkeeper
Killed
Minor
PEN
4 min
Double minor
18:16
Robby Fabbri· High-sticking
Robby Fabbri· High-sticking
Killed
Double minor
2nd period
PEN
5 min
Major
17:19
Tyler Tucker· Fighting
Tyler Tucker· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
17:19
Michael McCarron· Fighting
Michael McCarron· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:13
Pius Suter· Tripping
Pius Suter· Tripping
Bunting scored on this power play
Minor
9
Luke Evangelista, Nick Blankenburg · Power play (Suter, tripping) · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
7–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:43
Cam Fowler· High-sticking
Cam Fowler· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:15
Filip Forsberg· Hooking
Filip Forsberg· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:53
Adam Wilsby· Slashing
Adam Wilsby· Slashing
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 1.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
19/25 saves · 6 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 2.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Predators went 1-for-3 on the power play and killed all 3 Blues power plays.