NSH
5–3
TOR
Final · W
Nashville Predators
NSH · 14-16-4
5–3
FinalW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 15-14-5
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
010214310534
TOR
171718322
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
NSH 14-16-4 · TOR 15-14-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Predators beat the Maple Leafs
The Predators earned it: 3.2 expected goals to 2.6, and a 5–3 win to show for it.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.6, on 34 and 22 shots on goal.
NSH 3.2 xG · 34 shots
TOR 2.6 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 1.0
2nd
1.3 · 0.7
3rd
1.3 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nicolas Roy · 1st 01:32 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Erik Haula · 2nd 04:56 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
3
John Tavares · 2nd 11:57 · 1–2 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Adam Wilsby · 2nd 19:26 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Luke Evangelista · 3rd 09:18 · 3–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 18:25 · 4–2 · wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
7
Bobby McMann · 3rd 19:06 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Cole Smith · 3rd 19:51 · 5–3 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 59.
NSH 59%TOR 41%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 5 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nicolas Roy · 1st 01:32 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Erik Haula · 2nd 04:56 · PP · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
3
John Tavares · 2nd 11:57 · 1–2
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Adam Wilsby · 2nd 19:26 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Luke Evangelista · 3rd 09:18 · 3–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 18:25 · EN · GWG · 4–2
Wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
7
Bobby McMann · 3rd 19:06 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Cole Smith · 3rd 19:51 · EN · 5–3
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:14
Cole Smith· Hooking
Cole Smith· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:56
Auston Matthews· Tripping
Auston Matthews· Tripping
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:36
Jake McCabe· Tripping
Jake McCabe· Tripping
Haula scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:43
Nicolas Hague· Unsportsmanlike conduct
Nicolas Hague· Unsportsmanlike conduct
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:43
Simon Benoit· Unsportsmanlike conduct
Simon Benoit· Unsportsmanlike conduct
Offsetting
Minor
3rd period
Goaltending
19/22 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Predators went 1-for-2 on the power play and killed all 1 Maple Leafs power play.