Nashville Predators
NSH · 21-20-4
3–2
FinalW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 23-17-6
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
180627321
WSH
11109112232
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Predators lead the season series 1–0
NSH 21-20-4 · WSH 23-17-6 · First meeting this season — the Predators lead the season series 1–0
Predators beat the Capitals
Chances were even (2.4 to 2.8 expected goals); the Predators won 3–2. The Predators scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.4 expected goals to 2.8, on 21 and 32 shots on goal.
NSH 2.4 xG · 21 shots
WSH 2.8 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 0.9
2nd
0.6 · 0.6
3rd
1.4 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex Ovechkin · 1st 05:56 · 0–1 · slap shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Steven Stamkos · 1st 13:15 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Cole Smith · 3rd 01:12 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Roman Josi · 3rd 03:29 · 3–1 · slap shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Ethen Frank · 3rd 09:03 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 44.
NSH 44%WSH 56%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 11 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex Ovechkin · 1st 05:56 · PP · 0–1
Slap shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Steven Stamkos · 1st 13:15 · PP · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Cole Smith · 3rd 01:12 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Roman Josi · 3rd 03:29 · PP · GWG · 3–1
Slap shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Ethen Frank · 3rd 09:03 · PP · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:15
Roman Josi· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:31
Michael McCarron· Delaying game puck over glass
Ovechkin scored on this power play
Minor
1
John Carlson, Ryan Leonard · Power play (McCarron, delaying game puck over glass) · slap shot, a good chance (20%)
0–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:03
Brandon Duhaime· Holding
Stamkos scored on this power play
Minor
2
Filip Forsberg, Roman Josi · Power play (Duhaime, holding) · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:09
Erik Haula· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:29
Anthony Beauvillier· Interference
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:56
Nick Perbix· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:51
Aliaksei Protas· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:29
Alex Ovechkin· Slashing
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:52
Hendrix Lapierre· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:44
John Carlson· Delaying game puck over glass
Josi scored on this power play
Minor
4
Steven Stamkos, Ryan O'Reilly · Power play (Carlson, delaying game puck over glass) · slap shot, a good chance (13%)
3–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:18
Adam Wilsby· Tripping
Frank scored on this power play
Minor
Goaltending
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Predators went 2-for-6 on the power play and allowed 2 on 5 Capitals power plays.