NSH
4–3
EDM
Final / OT · W
Nashville Predators
NSH · 22-20-4
4–3
Final / OTW
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 23-16-8
1ST2ND3RDOTT
NSH
1102601011427
EDM
1132601101331
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
NSH 22-20-4 · EDM 23-16-8 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Predators beat the Oilers
Chances were even (2.7 to 3.0 expected goals); the Predators won it in overtime on Josi's goal. Tristan Jarry allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 3.0, on 27 and 31 shots on goal.
NSH 2.7 xG · 27 shots
EDM 3.0 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 1.5
2nd
0.5 · 0.8
3rd
0.8 · 0.6
OT
0.3 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Steven Stamkos · 1st 02:45 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Zach Hyman · 1st 17:06 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Erik Haula · 2nd 03:03 · 2–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
4
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 07:20 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Zach Hyman · 2nd 13:12 · 2–3 · poke shot, a great chance (41%)
6
Roman Josi · 2nd 13:50 · 3–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Roman Josi · OT 03:43 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 45.
NSH 45%EDM 55%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 9 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Oilers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Steven Stamkos · 1st 02:45 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Zach Hyman · 1st 17:06 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Erik Haula · 2nd 03:03 · 2–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
4
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 07:20 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Zach Hyman · 2nd 13:12 · PP · 2–3
Poke shot, a great chance (41%)
6
Roman Josi · 2nd 13:50 · 3–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Roman Josi · OT 03:43 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
PEN
5 min
Major
00:03
Darnell Nurse· Fighting
Darnell Nurse· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
00:03
Michael McCarron· Fighting
Michael McCarron· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:18
Filip Forsberg· Tripping
Filip Forsberg· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:50
Justin Barron· Tripping
Justin Barron· Tripping
Hyman scored on this power play
Minor
2
Leon Draisaitl, Connor McDavid · Power play (Barron, tripping) · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
1–1
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:58
Kasperi Kapanen· Slashing
Kasperi Kapanen· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:15
Nick Blankenburg· Tripping
Nick Blankenburg· Tripping
Hyman scored on this power play
Minor
5
Leon Draisaitl, Connor McDavid · Power play (Blankenburg, tripping) · poke shot, a great chance (41%)
2–3
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:48
Andrew Mangiapane· Holding the stick
Andrew Mangiapane· Holding the stick
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:08
Filip Forsberg· Slashing
Filip Forsberg· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:48
Mattias Janmark· Tripping
Mattias Janmark· Tripping
Killed
Minor
Overtime
Goaltending
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
23/27 saves · 4 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Predators went 0-for-3 on the power play and allowed 2 on 4 Oilers power plays.