Nashville Predators
NSH · 23-22-4
3–5
FinalL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 27-17-5
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
08212114334
BUF
31411118533
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–1
NSH 23-22-4 · BUF 27-17-5 · First meeting this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–1
Predators fell to the Sabres
The Predators created the better chances (3.5 to 2.3 expected goals) — and lost 3–5. Juuse Saros allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.3, on 34 and 33 shots on goal.
NSH 3.5 xG · 34 shots
BUF 2.3 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 1.1
2nd
1.5 · 0.7
3rd · the swing
1.4 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Noah Ostlund · 1st 08:11 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Noah Ostlund · 1st 11:45 · 0–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
3
Konsta Helenius · 1st 17:24 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Tage Thompson · 2nd 04:20 · 0–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 10:09 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 11:54 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 09:30 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Peyton Krebs · 3rd 18:14 · 3–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 68.
NSH 68%BUF 32%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 5 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Noah Ostlund · 1st 08:11 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Noah Ostlund · 1st 11:45 · 0–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
3
Konsta Helenius · 1st 17:24 · 0–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Tage Thompson · 2nd 04:20 · GWG · 0–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 10:09 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 1–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 11:54 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 09:30 · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Peyton Krebs · 3rd 18:14 · EN · 3–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:24
Jason Zucker· Tripping
Killed
Minor
2nd period
4
0–4
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:20
Luke Evangelista· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:43
Jordan Greenway· Holding
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
20:00
Mattias Samuelsson· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
20:00
Ryan O'Reilly· High-sticking
Offsetting
Minor
Goaltending
15/19 saves · 4 GA · 1.3 xGA
Allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
13/13 saves · 0 GA · 1.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Predators went 0-for-2 on the power play and killed all 1 Sabres power play.