NSH
5–3
OTT
Final · W
Nashville Predators
NSH · 24-22-4
5–3
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 23-20-7
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
0811049527
OTT
21111005326
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Predators lead the season series 2–0
NSH 24-22-4 · OTT 23-20-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the Predators lead the season series 2–0
Predators beat the Senators
Down 0–3 in the 2nd period, the Predators erased the deficit with five unanswered goals — Stamkos's equalizer — and won 5–3. The Predators scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.1 expected goals to 3.2, on 27 and 26 shots on goal.
NSH 3.1 xG · 27 shots
OTT 3.2 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 1.4
2nd
1.2 · 1.2
3rd
1.2 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Stephen Halliday · 1st 06:03 · 0–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (40%)
2
Ridly Greig · 1st 14:19 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (43%)
3
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 10:46 · 0–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 18:34 · 1–3 · slap shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Jonathan Marchessault · 3rd 08:19 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
6
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 10:07 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 18:47 · 4–3 · bat shot, a good chance (19%)
8
Cole Smith · 3rd 19:33 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 48.
NSH 48%OTT 52%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 9 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Senators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Stephen Halliday · 1st 06:03 · 0–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (40%)
2
Ridly Greig · 1st 14:19 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (43%)
3
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 10:46 · 0–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 18:34 · PP · 1–3
Slap shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Jonathan Marchessault · 3rd 08:19 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
6
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 10:07 · PP · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 18:47 · GWG · 4–3
Bat shot, a good chance (19%)
8
Cole Smith · 3rd 19:33 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:57
Shane Pinto· Slashing
Shane Pinto· Slashing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:57
Steven Stamkos· Slashing
Steven Stamkos· Slashing
Offsetting
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:33
Artem Zub· Slashing
Artem Zub· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:05
Ozzy Wiesblatt· Boarding
Ozzy Wiesblatt· Boarding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:04
Jordan Spence· Hooking
Jordan Spence· Hooking
Stamkos scored on this power play
Minor
4
Luke Evangelista, Filip Forsberg · Power play (Spence, hooking) · slap shot, a good chance (16%)
1–3
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:54
Steven Stamkos· Hooking
Steven Stamkos· Hooking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
4 min
Double minor
04:14
Fabian Zetterlund· High-sticking
Fabian Zetterlund· High-sticking
Killed
Double minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:39
Tim Stützle· Cross-checking
Tim Stützle· Cross-checking
Stamkos scored on this power play
Minor
6
Ryan O'Reilly, Roman Josi · Power play (Stützle, cross-checking) · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
3–3
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:32
Michael McCarron· Hooking
Michael McCarron· Hooking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
22/26 saves · 4 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Predators went 2-for-4 on the power play and killed all 3 Senators power plays.