NSH
6–5
STL
Final · W
Nashville Predators
NSH · 26-23-6
6–5
FinalW
St. Louis Blues
STL · 20-27-9
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
1921138628
STL
21431406534
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Predators lead the season series 3–1
NSH 26-23-6 · STL 20-27-9 · Meeting 4 this season — the Predators lead the season series 3–1
Predators beat the Blues
Down 1–5 in the 2nd period, the Predators erased the deficit with five unanswered goals — Stamkos's equalizer — and won 6–5. Juuse Saros allowed 3.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.3 expected goals to 3.5, on 28 and 34 shots on goal.
NSH 3.3 xG · 28 shots
STL 3.5 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 0.9
2nd
1.2 · 1.9
3rd
1.2 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jake Neighbours · 1st 04:53 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Ryan O'Reilly · 1st 09:16 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Pavel Buchnevich · 1st 14:24 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Pavel Buchnevich · 2nd 00:45 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Philip Broberg · 2nd 03:23 · 1–4 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Colton Parayko · 2nd 03:55 · 1–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Michael McCarron · 2nd 11:35 · 2–5 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 13:49 · 3–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
9
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 02:02 · 4–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
10
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 07:14 · 5–5 · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
11
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 10:23 · 6–5 · poke shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 47.
NSH 47%STL 53%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 4 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Blues shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jake Neighbours · 1st 04:53 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Ryan O'Reilly · 1st 09:16 · PP · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Pavel Buchnevich · 1st 14:24 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Pavel Buchnevich · 2nd 00:45 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Philip Broberg · 2nd 03:23 · 1–4
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Colton Parayko · 2nd 03:55 · 1–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Michael McCarron · 2nd 11:35 · 2–5
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 13:49 · 3–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
9
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 02:02 · 4–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
10
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 07:14 · 5–5
Wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
11
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 10:23 · GWG · 6–5
Poke shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:04
Tyler Tucker· Hooking
Tyler Tucker· Hooking
O'Reilly scored on this power play
Minor
2
Filip Forsberg, Roman Josi · Power play (Tucker, hooking) · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:04
Andreas Englund· Interference
Andreas Englund· Interference
Buchnevich scored on this power play
Minor
3
Jake Neighbours, Jordan Kyrou · Power play (Englund, interference) · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
1–2
2nd period
3rd period
10
Luke Evangelista, Roman Josi · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5–5
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:41
Steven Stamkos· Delaying game puck over glass
Steven Stamkos· Delaying game puck over glass
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:57
Brayden Schenn· Cross-checking
Brayden Schenn· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
16/21 saves · 5 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 3.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
13/13 saves · 0 GA · 1.8 xGA
Stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Predators went 1-for-2 on the power play and allowed 1 on 2 Blues power plays.