NSH
5–6
MIN
Final / OT · L
Nashville Predators
NSH · 26-23-7
5–6
Final / OTL
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 34-14-10
1ST2ND3RDOTT
NSH
3121151701535
MIN
3151711912643
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Predators trail the season series 1–2
NSH 26-23-7 · MIN 34-14-10 · Meeting 3 this season — the Predators trail the season series 1–2
Predators fell to the Wild
Chances were even (3.5 to 4.0 expected goals); the Predators lost it in overtime on Spurgeon's goal. Juuse Saros allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.5 expected goals to 4.0, on 35 and 43 shots on goal.
NSH 3.5 xG · 35 shots
MIN 4.0 xG · 43 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.6 · 1.1
2nd
1.3 · 1.1
3rd · the swing
0.6 · 1.5
OT
0.1 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matt Boldy · 1st 01:49 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Matt Boldy · 1st 03:39 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Filip Forsberg · 1st 09:26 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (62%)
4
Matt Boldy · 1st 12:58 · 1–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Steven Stamkos · 1st 16:45 · 2–3 · slap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Erik Haula · 1st 18:21 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Luke Evangelista · 2nd 00:41 · 4–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Yakov Trenin · 2nd 16:06 · 4–4 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
9
Vladimir Tarasenko · 3rd 15:14 · 4–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
10
Roman Josi · 3rd 15:48 · 5–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
11
Jared Spurgeon · OT 04:14 · 5–6 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 44.
NSH 44%MIN 56%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 7 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Wild shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matt Boldy · 1st 01:49 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Matt Boldy · 1st 03:39 · PP · 0–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Filip Forsberg · 1st 09:26 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (62%)
4
Matt Boldy · 1st 12:58 · 1–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Steven Stamkos · 1st 16:45 · PP · 2–3
Slap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Erik Haula · 1st 18:21 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Luke Evangelista · 2nd 00:41 · 4–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Yakov Trenin · 2nd 16:06 · 4–4
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
9
Vladimir Tarasenko · 3rd 15:14 · 4–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
10
Roman Josi · 3rd 15:48 · 5–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
11
Jared Spurgeon · OT 04:14 · GWG · 5–6
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:31
Steven Stamkos· Tripping
Steven Stamkos· Tripping
Boldy scored on this power play
Minor
2
Quinn Hughes, Mats Zuccarello · Power play (Stamkos, tripping) · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
0–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:16
Ryan Hartman· Tripping
Ryan Hartman· Tripping
Forsberg scored on this power play
Minor
3
Roman Josi, Jonathan Marchessault · Power play (Hartman, tripping) · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (62%)
1–2
PEN
5 min
Major
13:35
Adam Wilsby· Fighting
Adam Wilsby· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
13:35
Vinnie Hinostroza· Fighting
Vinnie Hinostroza· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:20
Kirill Kaprizov· Holding
Kirill Kaprizov· Holding
Stamkos scored on this power play
Minor
5
Filip Forsberg, Ryan O'Reilly · Power play (Kaprizov, holding) · slap shot, a good chance (13%)
2–3
2nd period
7
Steven Stamkos, Ryan O'Reilly · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4–3
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:06
Quinn Hughes· Hooking
Quinn Hughes· Hooking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:19
Ryan O'Reilly· High-sticking
Ryan O'Reilly· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
Overtime
Goaltending
37/43 saves · 6 GA · 4.0 xGA
Allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
30/35 saves · 5 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Predators went 2-for-3 on the power play and allowed 1 on 2 Wild power plays.