Nashville Predators
NSH · 27-24-7
4–2
FinalW
Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 22-27-9
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
1801236426
CHI
091519223
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Predators lead the season series 2–1
NSH 27-24-7 · CHI 22-27-9 · Meeting 3 this season — the Predators lead the season series 2–1
Predators beat the Blackhawks
Chances were even (2.0 to 2.3 expected goals); the Predators won 4–2. Justus Annunen stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.0 expected goals to 2.3, on 26 and 23 shots on goal.
NSH 2.0 xG · 26 shots
CHI 2.3 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
1st
1.0 · 0.7
2nd
0.6 · 0.5
3rd · the swing
0.4 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Filip Forsberg · 1st 13:50 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Connor Bedard · 2nd 04:13 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Tyler Bertuzzi · 3rd 03:16 · 1–2 · snap shot, a great chance (28%)
4
Matthew Wood · 3rd 07:12 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 16:44 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 19:12 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 44.
NSH 44%CHI 56%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 7 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Filip Forsberg · 1st 13:50 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Connor Bedard · 2nd 04:13 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Tyler Bertuzzi · 3rd 03:16 · PP · 1–2
Snap shot, a great chance (28%)
4
Matthew Wood · 3rd 07:12 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 16:44 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 19:12 · EN · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:26
Nick Perbix· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
4 min
Double minor
06:00
Erik Haula· High-sticking
Killed
Double minor
2nd period
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:25
Adam Wilsby· Delaying game puck over glass
Bertuzzi scored on this power play
Minor
3
Teuvo Teravainen, Sam Rinzel · Power play (Wilsby, delaying game puck over glass) · snap shot, a great chance (28%)
1–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:17
Nick Foligno· Interference
Wood scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:58
Michael McCarron· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:58
Sam Rinzel· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:58
Michael McCarron· Tripping
Offsetting
Minor
Goaltending
21/23 saves · 2 GA · 3.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Predators went 1-for-1 on the power play and allowed 1 on 3 Blackhawks power plays.