NSH
2–4
DET
Final · L
Nashville Predators
NSH · 27-25-8
2–4
FinalL
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 35-20-6
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
11116013230
DET
11121416431
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
NSH 27-25-8 · DET 35-20-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Predators fell to the Red Wings
Chances were even (2.4 to 2.0 expected goals); the Predators lost 2–4. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.4 expected goals to 2.0, on 30 and 31 shots on goal.
NSH 2.4 xG · 30 shots
DET 2.0 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.5 · 0.7
2nd
0.7 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
1.2 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Emmitt Finnie · 1st 04:51 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
2
Filip Forsberg · 1st 17:02 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Jonathan Marchessault · 2nd 07:10 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Lucas Raymond · 2nd 09:45 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Albert Johansson · 2nd 16:36 · 2–3 · slap shot, a good chance (19%)
6
Alex DeBrincat · 3rd 19:32 · 2–4 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 57.
NSH 57%DET 43%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 5 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Red Wings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Emmitt Finnie · 1st 04:51 · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
2
Filip Forsberg · 1st 17:02 · PP · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Jonathan Marchessault · 2nd 07:10 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Lucas Raymond · 2nd 09:45 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Albert Johansson · 2nd 16:36 · SH · GWG · 2–3
Slap shot, a good chance (19%)
6
Alex DeBrincat · 3rd 19:32 · EN · 2–4
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:13
Dylan Larkin· Hooking
Dylan Larkin· Hooking
Forsberg scored on this power play
Minor
2
Luke Evangelista, Roman Josi · Power play (Larkin, hooking) · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1–1
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:58
Moritz Seider· Slashing
Moritz Seider· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:57
Jonathan Marchessault· Slashing
Jonathan Marchessault· Slashing
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:03
Mason Appleton· Hooking
Mason Appleton· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:43
Erik Haula· Slashing
Erik Haula· Slashing
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
18/19 saves · 1 GA · 1.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Predators went 1-for-3 on the power play and killed all 2 Red Wings power plays.