Nashville Predators
NSH · 31-28-9
3–1
FinalW
Seattle Kraken
SEA · 31-28-9
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
1151617328
SEA
1130607126
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Predators lead the season series 2–1
NSH 31-28-9 · SEA 31-28-9 · Meeting 3 this season — the Predators lead the season series 2–1
Predators beat the Kraken
The Predators were outchanced (2.6 to 2.0 expected goals) but won 3–1 anyway. Justus Annunen stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Kraken created the better chances: 2.6 expected goals to 2.0, on 26 and 28 shots on goal.
NSH 2.0 xG · 28 shots
SEA 2.6 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
1st
1.0 · 1.2
2nd
0.9 · 0.5
3rd
0.2 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ryan Ufko · 1st 06:14 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Frederick Gaudreau · 1st 18:40 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 07:11 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 18:10 · 3–1 · wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 40.
NSH 40%SEA 60%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 7 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ryan Ufko · 1st 06:14 · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Frederick Gaudreau · 1st 18:40 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 07:11 · PP · GWG · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 18:10 · EN · 3–1
Wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:34
Nicolas Hague· Holding
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
02:12
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Killed
Bench minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:57
Jamie Oleksiak· Interference
O'Reilly scored on this power play
Minor
3
Filip Forsberg, Steven Stamkos · Power play (Oleksiak, interference) · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
2–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:26
Erik Haula· Slashing
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:59
Jamie Oleksiak· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:09
Ryker Evans· Boarding
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:09
Jonathan Marchessault· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
Goaltending
25/26 saves · 1 GA · 2.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Predators went 1-for-3 on the power play and killed all 2 Kraken power plays.