NSH
4–1
VGK
Final · W
Nashville Predators
NSH · 32-28-9
4–1
FinalW
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 31-25-14
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
1431105420
VGK
020110010140
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Predators lead the season series 2–1
NSH 32-28-9 · VGK 31-25-14 · Meeting 3 this season — the Predators lead the season series 2–1
Predators beat the Golden Knights
Chances were even (3.4 to 3.6 expected goals); the Predators won 4–1. Justus Annunen stopped 2.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.4 expected goals to 3.6, on 20 and 40 shots on goal.
NSH 3.4 xG · 20 shots
VGK 3.6 xG · 40 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.4 · 1.9
2nd · the swing
2.2 · 0.6
3rd
0.8 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Steven Stamkos · 1st 00:40 · 1–0 · snap shot, a great chance (31%)
2
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 01:24 · 2–0 · snap shot, a great chance (45%)
3
Tyson Jost · 2nd 11:56 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Shea Theodore · 2nd 13:10 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 14:53 · 4–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 47.
NSH 47%VGK 53%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 11 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Golden Knights shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Steven Stamkos · 1st 00:40 · 1–0
Snap shot, a great chance (31%)
2
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 01:24 · PP · GWG · 2–0
Snap shot, a great chance (45%)
3
Tyson Jost · 2nd 11:56 · SH · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Shea Theodore · 2nd 13:10 · PP · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 14:53 · PP · 4–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:42
Steven Stamkos· Hooking
Steven Stamkos· Hooking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
4 min
Double minor
00:54
Shea Theodore· High-sticking
Shea Theodore· High-sticking
Stamkos scored on this power play
Double minor
2
Filip Forsberg, Jonathan Marchessault · Power play (Theodore, high-sticking) · snap shot, a great chance (45%)
2–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:31
Erik Haula· Interference
Erik Haula· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:05
Ben Hutton· Roughing
Ben Hutton· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:05
Nic Dowd· Roughing
Nic Dowd· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:05
Nick Perbix· Roughing
Nick Perbix· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:05
Ozzy Wiesblatt· Roughing
Ozzy Wiesblatt· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:05
Brett Howden· Slashing
Brett Howden· Slashing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:39
Ryan O'Reilly· High-sticking
Ryan O'Reilly· High-sticking
Theodore scored on this power play
Minor
4
Ivan Barbashev, Brett Howden · Power play (O'Reilly, high-sticking) · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:27
Nic Dowd· Slashing
Nic Dowd· Slashing
O'Reilly scored on this power play
Minor
5
Steven Stamkos, Roman Josi · Power play (Dowd, slashing) · deflected shot, a good chance (19%)
4–1
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:45
Matthew Wood· Slashing
Matthew Wood· Slashing
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
39/40 saves · 1 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 2.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
16/20 saves · 4 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Predators went 2-for-2 on the power play and allowed 1 on 4 Golden Knights power plays.