NSH
2–3
SJS
Final · L
Nashville Predators
NSH · 38-33-10
2–3
FinalL
San Jose Sharks
SJS · 38-34-8
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
0609213228
SJS
0111527323
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Predators lead the season series 2–1
NSH 38-33-10 · SJS 38-34-8 · Meeting 3 this season — the Predators lead the season series 2–1
Predators fell to the Sharks
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.6 expected goals); the Predators lost 2–3. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.6, on 28 and 23 shots on goal.
NSH 2.5 xG · 28 shots
SJS 2.6 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
1st · the swing
0.2 · 0.9
2nd
0.8 · 0.5
3rd
1.5 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Igor Chernyshov · 2nd 09:53 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Macklin Celebrini · 3rd 03:04 · 0–2 · snap shot, a great chance (37%)
3
Luke Evangelista · 3rd 15:39 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Macklin Celebrini · 3rd 18:15 · 1–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
5
Luke Evangelista · 3rd 18:50 · 2–3 · deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (44%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 48.
NSH 48%SJS 52%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 2 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Sharks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Igor Chernyshov · 2nd 09:53 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Macklin Celebrini · 3rd 03:04 · 0–2
Snap shot, a great chance (37%)
3
Luke Evangelista · 3rd 15:39 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Macklin Celebrini · 3rd 18:15 · EN · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
5
Luke Evangelista · 3rd 18:50 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–3
Deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (44%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:54
Steven Stamkos· Boarding
Steven Stamkos· Boarding
Chernyshov scored on this power play
Minor
1
William Eklund, Michael Misa · Power play (Stamkos, boarding) · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
0–1
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:51
Mario Ferraro· Holding
Mario Ferraro· Holding
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
20/22 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
26/28 saves · 2 GA · 3.8 xGA
Stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Predators went 0-for-1 on the power play and allowed 1 on 1 Sharks power play.