New York Islanders
NYI · 5-5-3
1–4
FinalL
Washington Capitals
WSH · 7-4-2
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
11209016137
WSH
1721516428
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
NYI 5-5-3 · WSH 7-4-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Islanders fell to the Capitals
Chances were even (3.0 to 2.6 expected goals); the Islanders lost 1–4. Hunter Shepard stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 2.6, on 37 and 28 shots on goal.
NYI 3.0 xG · 37 shots
WSH 2.6 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.5
2nd
1.1 · 1.7
3rd
1.1 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex Ovechkin · 1st 09:18 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Alexander Romanov · 1st 19:17 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Nic Dowd · 2nd 13:05 · 1–2 · bat shot on a rebound, a great chance (75%)
4
Aliaksei Protas · 2nd 19:20 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 19:57 · 1–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 57.
NYI 57%WSH 43%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex Ovechkin · 1st 09:18 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Alexander Romanov · 1st 19:17 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Nic Dowd · 2nd 13:05 · GWG · 1–2
Bat shot on a rebound, a great chance (75%)
4
Aliaksei Protas · 2nd 19:20 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 19:57 · EN · 1–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
36/37 saves · 1 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.