NYI
3–2
CAR
Final / OT · W
New York Islanders
NYI · 21-20-7
3–2
Final / OTW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 30-16-4
1ST2ND3RDOTT
NYI
110091711327
CAR
29080901227
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Islanders lead the season series 2–1
NYI 21-20-7 · CAR 30-16-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Islanders lead the season series 2–1
Islanders beat the Hurricanes
Down 0–2 in the 1st period, the Islanders erased the deficit with three unanswered goals — Lee's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Nelson's goal. Pyotr Kochetkov allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 1.6, on 27 and 27 shots on goal.
NYI 1.6 xG · 27 shots
CAR 3.4 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.5
2nd
0.4 · 1.0
3rd · the swing
0.4 · 1.8
OT
0.1 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jack Roslovic · 1st 05:18 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Sebastian Aho · 1st 06:30 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Alexander Romanov · 1st 17:53 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Anders Lee · 3rd 06:26 · 2–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
5
Brock Nelson · OT 02:03 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 21.
NYI 21%CAR 79%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Islanders shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jack Roslovic · 1st 05:18 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Sebastian Aho · 1st 06:30 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Alexander Romanov · 1st 17:53 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Anders Lee · 3rd 06:26 · 2–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
5
Brock Nelson · OT 02:03 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 3.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
1/1 saves · 0 GA · 0.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
