NYI
3–4
CGY
Final / OT · L
New York Islanders
NYI · 32-28-9
3–4
Final / OTL
Calgary Flames
CGY · 33-25-11
1ST2ND3RDOTT
NYI
211061903329
CGY
1131131712435
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Islanders trail the season series 0–2
NYI 32-28-9 · CGY 33-25-11 · Meeting 2 this season — the Islanders trail the season series 0–2
Islanders fell to the Flames
The Islanders created the better chances (3.5 to 2.3 expected goals) — and lost it in overtime on Kadri's goal. Marcus Hogberg allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Islanders created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.3, on 29 and 35 shots on goal.
NYI 3.5 xG · 29 shots
CGY 2.3 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.6 · 0.8
2nd
0.6 · 1.1
3rd · the swing
1.3 · 0.3
OT
0.1 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matt Coronato · 1st 00:36 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Bo Horvat · 1st 10:46 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Marc Gatcomb · 1st 17:41 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Matt Coronato · 2nd 06:03 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Kyle MacLean · 3rd 17:09 · 3–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
6
Jonathan Huberdeau · 3rd 17:38 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Nazem Kadri · OT 03:53 · 3–4 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 68.
NYI 68%CGY 32%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Islanders shoot this way
Flames shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matt Coronato · 1st 00:36 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Bo Horvat · 1st 10:46 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Marc Gatcomb · 1st 17:41 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Matt Coronato · 2nd 06:03 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Kyle MacLean · 3rd 17:09 · 3–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
6
Jonathan Huberdeau · 3rd 17:38 · 3–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Nazem Kadri · OT 03:53 · GWG · 3–4
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
31/35 saves · 4 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 3.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
