New York Rangers
NYR · 6-5
4–1
FinalW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 6-5
1ST2ND3RDT
NYR
2121818428
CAR
08012111131
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the series is tied 2–2
NYR 6-5 · CAR 6-5 · Game 4 — the series is tied 2–2
Rangers beat the Hurricanes
The Rangers earned it: 2.9 expected goals to 2.1, and a 4–1 win to show for it. Igor Shesterkin stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Rangers created the better chances: 2.9 expected goals to 2.1, on 28 and 31 shots on goal.
NYR 2.9 xG · 28 shots
CAR 2.1 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.7 · 0.4
2nd
0.7 · 0.8
3rd
0.5 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Frank Vatrano · 1st 13:31 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Adam Fox · 1st 15:42 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Mika Zibanejad · 2nd 16:48 · 3–0 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
4
Teuvo Teravainen · 3rd 06:33 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Andrew Copp · 3rd 11:10 · 4–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Rangers win 63.
NYR 63%CAR 37%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Frank Vatrano · 1st 13:31 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Adam Fox · 1st 15:42 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Mika Zibanejad · 2nd 16:48 · 3–0
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
4
Teuvo Teravainen · 3rd 06:33 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Andrew Copp · 3rd 11:10 · 4–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
30/31 saves · 1 GA · 2.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.