OTT
4–6
BUF
Final · L
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 3-3-0
4–6
FinalL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 3-4-0
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
01019319438
BUF
2831016624
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–1
OTT 3-3-0 · BUF 3-4-0 · First meeting this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–1
Senators fell to the Sabres
The Senators created the better chances (3.3 to 2.3 expected goals) — and lost 4–6. Anton Forsberg allowed 3.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.3, on 38 and 24 shots on goal.
OTT 3.3 xG · 38 shots
BUF 2.3 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 1.1
2nd
1.2 · 0.6
3rd · the swing
1.6 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
· 1st 08:06 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Zemgus Girgensons · 1st 11:20 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
· 2nd 04:04 · 0–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
4
Jakob Chychrun · 2nd 13:14 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Alex Tuch · 2nd 17:08 · 1–4 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Tage Thompson · 2nd 18:48 · 1–5 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Vladimir Tarasenko · 3rd 15:35 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Josh Norris · 3rd 18:38 · 3–5 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
9
Mathieu Joseph · 3rd 18:58 · 4–5 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
10
Tage Thompson · 3rd 19:37 · 4–6 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 66.
OTT 66%BUF 34%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
· 1st 08:06 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Zemgus Girgensons · 1st 11:20 · 0–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
· 2nd 04:04 · 0–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
4
Jakob Chychrun · 2nd 13:14 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Alex Tuch · 2nd 17:08 · PP · 1–4
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Tage Thompson · 2nd 18:48 · GWG · 1–5
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Vladimir Tarasenko · 3rd 15:35 · 2–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Josh Norris · 3rd 18:38 · PP · 3–5
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
9
Mathieu Joseph · 3rd 18:58 · 4–5
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
10
Tage Thompson · 3rd 19:37 · EN · 4–6
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
4
Travis Hamonic, Vladimir Tarasenko · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1–3
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
13/18 saves · 5 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 3.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
5/5 saves · 0 GA · 0.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
