Ottawa Senators
OTT · 5-7-0
2–5
FinalL
Vancouver Canucks
VAN · 10-2-1
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
11117012230
VAN
231726516
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–1
OTT 5-7-0 · VAN 10-2-1 · First meeting this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–1
Senators fell to the Canucks
Chances were even (2.0 to 1.8 expected goals); the Senators lost 2–5. Anton Forsberg allowed 3.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.0 expected goals to 1.8, on 30 and 16 shots on goal.
OTT 2.0 xG · 30 shots
VAN 1.8 xG · 16 shots
0
1
2
1st
1.0 · 0.7
2nd
0.6 · 0.4
3rd
0.3 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brock Boeser · 1st 00:15 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Ilya Mikheyev · 1st 03:00 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Drake Batherson · 1st 18:15 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
4
Artem Zub · 2nd 10:58 · 2–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
J.T. Miller · 2nd 18:08 · 2–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Ilya Mikheyev · 3rd 09:23 · 2–4 · deflected shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Elias Pettersson · 3rd 13:28 · 2–5 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 53.
OTT 53%VAN 47%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brock Boeser · 1st 00:15 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Ilya Mikheyev · 1st 03:00 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Drake Batherson · 1st 18:15 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
4
Artem Zub · 2nd 10:58 · 2–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
J.T. Miller · 2nd 18:08 · GWG · 2–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Ilya Mikheyev · 3rd 09:23 · 2–4
Deflected shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Elias Pettersson · 3rd 13:28 · PP · 2–5
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
11/16 saves · 5 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 3.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 2.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.