OTT
2–4
NYI
Final · L
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 6-7-0
2–4
FinalL
New York Islanders
NYI · 6-6-2
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
05015210230
NYI
0821126425
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–1
OTT 6-7-0 · NYI 6-6-2 · First meeting this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–1
Senators fell to the Islanders
The Senators created the better chances (2.4 to 1.8 expected goals) — and lost 2–4. Anton Forsberg allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 2.4 expected goals to 1.8, on 30 and 25 shots on goal.
OTT 2.4 xG · 30 shots
NYI 1.8 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.5 · 0.6
2nd
0.9 · 0.8
3rd
1.0 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Anders Lee · 2nd 15:49 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 2nd 18:22 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
3
· 3rd 02:41 · 0–3 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Nick Jensen · 3rd 07:43 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Drake Batherson · 3rd 14:27 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Bo Horvat · 3rd 19:50 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 62.
OTT 62%NYI 38%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Islanders shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Anders Lee · 2nd 15:49 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 2nd 18:22 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
3
· 3rd 02:41 · GWG · 0–3
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Nick Jensen · 3rd 07:43 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Drake Batherson · 3rd 14:27 · PP · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Bo Horvat · 3rd 19:50 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
