OTT
2–5
EDM
Final · L
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 8-9-1
2–5
FinalL
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 10-8-2
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
11205112229
EDM
3141918531
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–1
OTT 8-9-1 · EDM 10-8-2 · First meeting this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–1
Senators fell to the Oilers
Chances were even (2.3 to 2.5 expected goals); the Senators lost 2–5. Linus Ullmark allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.3 expected goals to 2.5, on 29 and 31 shots on goal.
OTT 2.3 xG · 29 shots
EDM 2.5 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.7 · 1.1
2nd
0.5 · 1.0
3rd
1.1 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Evan Bouchard · 1st 03:46 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Tim Stützle · 1st 15:40 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Connor McDavid · 1st 16:15 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Connor McDavid · 1st 19:19 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 04:39 · 1–4 · backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 3rd 11:50 · 1–5 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Josh Norris · 3rd 17:36 · 2–5 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 47.
OTT 47%EDM 53%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Oilers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Evan Bouchard · 1st 03:46 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Tim Stützle · 1st 15:40 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Connor McDavid · 1st 16:15 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Connor McDavid · 1st 19:19 · PP · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 04:39 · 1–4
Backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 3rd 11:50 · 1–5
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Josh Norris · 3rd 17:36 · 2–5
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/31 saves · 5 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
